North Shore Notes · by Kaiyu
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Daily Brief

Daily Macro Brief

Public news, rates curves, and market data mapped into the macro regimes the market has not fully priced. Strong views, no private holdings or trade instructions.

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Not a news digest. I read the logic behind daily market signals and the story behind every move.

Latest Briefs

August 31, 2026

Hormuz tightens again while markets price only a limited shock

A weekend collapse in Hormuz traffic and the strike on Larak Island lifted energy and long-term rate pressure, but markets still do not reflect a systemic supply interruption.

Hormuz: about 5/dayCrude oil: $85.50UST 30Y: 5.26%JGB 2Y: 1.719%

Warsh raises the bar for easing as semiconductors reverse

Warsh put inflation discipline ahead of growth concerns, U.S. activity weakened without pointing to a jobs collapse, and Hormuz supply risk still lacked price confirmation.

UST 30Y: 5.21%Chicago PMI: 47.1Hormuz: 7 vesselsSMH: -3.3%

AI demand holds up while long yields stay above 5%

NVIDIA's results and AWS expansion plan confirm strong AI infrastructure demand, but long yields, global central banks, and trade friction still limit the broader risk rally.

NVDA: +7.49%Goods Gap: $118.8BUST 30Y: 5.18%BTC RSI: 89.45

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